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-   -   WEIRS (http://www.saltycajun.com/forum/showthread.php?t=54775)

trahrob1 07-07-2014 06:50 PM

WEIRS
 
Everyone starts catching fish on Calcasieu. What's the deal? Was it the weirs or not?

"W" 07-07-2014 06:56 PM

We all been on Sabine !! Where you been??


When you left for Toledo Bend all us Guides raped Sabine !! And Johnson Bayou Rocks !!

Cripley 07-07-2014 07:24 PM

Sabine or bust

Bobbynofish 07-07-2014 07:59 PM

^^^^ what they said - there are no fish on BL - fish are jumping in boat on Sabine!


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"W" 07-07-2014 08:02 PM

Don't need weirs when fishing Sabine and on beach

MathGeek 07-07-2014 08:15 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by "W" (Post 704881)
Don't need weirs when fishing Sabine and on beach

It is important to realize that the weirs being opened or closed only provides a focal point for locating fish in the short term, it does not magically make fish appear in the lake. In the long term, opening the weirs provides more forage to the fish in the estuary, but it is an open question whether opening the weirs 365 days a year would increase the available food supply by 1%, 5%, 10%, 50%, or 100%.

A few points of science may help people understand why how many fish they catch may not always be closely related to the health of the estuary. Back in April and May, there were lots of complaints and concerns that the sky might be falling because trout fishing was slow and the weirs had not been opened as often as some had desired. But there being few fish in the lake is only one of several possible explanations for low catch rates. More likely explanations (in light of available data) are that the fish had shifted patterns in pursuit of available forage and that the fish were not eager to bite what anglers were throwing at them.

Most anglers develop their fishing habits for specks aimed at specks chasing shrimp, mullet, and croaker and also aimed at the propensity for larger specks to seek oyster reef habitat in the spring. However, the cool spring and destruction of oyster reefs made the specks less predictable this year. Shrimp numbers were down (cool weather and closed weirs), and manhaden numbers were up (pogey plant closing). Cooler water temperatures and higher salinities also lowered speck metabolic rates so they did not need to feed as agressively to maintain body condition.

When we sampled fish condition in late May, the specks were in great shape, with an average of 106% of a healthy body condition. The fish were eating well compared with their metabolic demands. But we weren't seeing many anglers returning to the boat ramp with limits of fish. Limits of fish became more regular after the waters warmed up in June, because the increased metabolic demands of warmer water caused the fish to feed more aggressively. Some localized fish kills on bait may also have reduced the availability of age zero menhaden.

There is a strong theoretical basis to believe that the number of days the weirs are open will have a significant impact on the condition of fish in the estuary, and in the long term, increasing exchange between the marsh and the lake are important and should have measurable effects.

So far, we have four years of data. We can see the expected effects of temperature, salinity, oyster stocks, and interspecies competition in the available data, but the effects of the weirs are either too small to see or masked by confounding factors. This may be cleared up by additional years of data or access to LDWF data or by access to improved data regarding historical openings and closings of each water control structure.

But for now, it is hard not to think that most angler complaints about the weirs being open or closed result from confirmation bias and the tendency of open weirs concentrating the fish in a predictable location so that they are easier to catch.

Even a saltwater barrier or rocking the ship channel to maintain lower salinities in the lake will not produce the ideal trout fishery that is hoped for. Maintaining salinities below 10-15 ppt in the lower lake for most of the year would allow the weirs to be open for 150-200 days per year, but the lower salinities would also exert a high osmoregulation cost on specks which prefer salinities in the 25-35 ppt range. The specks in that scenario would face the trade-off between a higher metabolic burden to enter the lake and take advantage of the available forage from the open weirs and to remain in the ship channel and gulf which has a much lower metabolic burden.

Salinities below 10-15 ppt would favor redfish, black drum, and gafftops in the lake, because these fish are better adapted to mid range salinities and would have a lower metabolic burden in the lake. Salinity levels below 10 ppt would be great for keeping the weirs open, but at these levels, the health of the oyster reefs would also begin to be negatively impacted.

Jadams 07-07-2014 08:17 PM

I'm goin to lighthouse cove in the am for topwater rapin


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mallard matt 07-07-2014 08:47 PM

So are they open?

Jadams 07-08-2014 04:35 AM

No


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SGib 07-08-2014 05:29 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Jadams (Post 704887)
I'm goin to lighthouse cove in the am for topwater rapin


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Where is lighthouse? Hot spot on big lake?

PotLikinisAhabbit 07-08-2014 05:51 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by SGib (Post 704952)
Where is lighthouse? Hot spot on big lake?

Haha

BassYakR 07-08-2014 06:18 AM

its the community hole on sabine... just south of coffee ground cove.

Bumfisherman 07-08-2014 06:22 AM

Thanks math geek. It's always good to read your posts.

Jadams 07-08-2014 06:23 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by BassYakR (Post 704955)
its the community hole on sabine... just south of coffee ground cove.

Just south of causeway


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Jadams 07-08-2014 06:26 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by MathGeek (Post 704886)
It is important to realize that the weirs being opened or closed only provides a focal point for locating fish in the short term, it does not magically make fish appear in the lake. In the long term, opening the weirs provides more forage to the fish in the estuary, but it is an open question whether opening the weirs 365 days a year would increase the available food supply by 1%, 5%, 10%, 50%, or 100%.



A few points of science may help people understand why how many fish they catch may not always be closely related to the health of the estuary. Back in April and May, there were lots of complaints and concerns that the sky might be falling because trout fishing was slow and the weirs had not been opened as often as some had desired. But there being few fish in the lake is only one of several possible explanations for low catch rates. More likely explanations (in light of available data) are that the fish had shifted patterns in pursuit of available forage and that the fish were not eager to bite what anglers were throwing at them.



Most anglers develop their fishing habits for specks aimed at specks chasing shrimp, mullet, and croaker and also aimed at the propensity for larger specks to seek oyster reef habitat in the spring. However, the cool spring and destruction of oyster reefs made the specks less predictable this year. Shrimp numbers were down (cool weather and closed weirs), and manhaden numbers were up (pogey plant closing). Cooler water temperatures and higher salinities also lowered speck metabolic rates so they did not need to feed as agressively to maintain body condition.



When we sampled fish condition in late May, the specks were in great shape, with an average of 106% of a healthy body condition. The fish were eating well compared with their metabolic demands. But we weren't seeing many anglers returning to the boat ramp with limits of fish. Limits of fish became more regular after the waters warmed up in June, because the increased metabolic demands of warmer water caused the fish to feed more aggressively. Some localized fish kills on bait may also have reduced the availability of age zero menhaden.



There is a strong theoretical basis to believe that the number of days the weirs are open will have a significant impact on the condition of fish in the estuary, and in the long term, increasing exchange between the marsh and the lake are important and should have measurable effects.



So far, we have four years of data. We can see the expected effects of temperature, salinity, oyster stocks, and interspecies competition in the available data, but the effects of the weirs are either too small to see or masked by confounding factors. This may be cleared up by additional years of data or access to LDWF data or by access to improved data regarding historical openings and closings of each water control structure.



But for now, it is hard not to think that most angler complaints about the weirs being open or closed result from confirmation bias and the tendency of open weirs concentrating the fish in a predictable location so that they are easier to catch.



Even a saltwater barrier or rocking the ship channel to maintain lower salinities in the lake will not produce the ideal trout fishery that is hoped for. Maintaining salinities below 10-15 ppt in the lower lake for most of the year would allow the weirs to be open for 150-200 days per year, but the lower salinities would also exert a high osmoregulation cost on specks which prefer salinities in the 25-35 ppt range. The specks in that scenario would face the trade-off between a higher metabolic burden to enter the lake and take advantage of the available forage from the open weirs and to remain in the ship channel and gulf which has a much lower metabolic burden.



Salinities below 10-15 ppt would favor redfish, black drum, and gafftops in the lake, because these fish are better adapted to mid range salinities and would have a lower metabolic burden in the lake. Salinity levels below 10 ppt would be great for keeping the weirs open, but at these levels, the health of the oyster reefs would also begin to be negatively impacted.


U goin to meeting thursday?


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BassYakR 07-08-2014 06:26 AM

Monster Trout ALLLL DAY there!

SGib 07-08-2014 06:35 AM

Just south of **** trickle point

Clampy 07-08-2014 07:21 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Jadams (Post 704958)
U goin to meeting thursday?


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Not if the gaftops are runnin

MathGeek 07-08-2014 07:52 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Jadams (Post 704958)
U goin to meeting thursday?

I wish I could, but I do not live in the LC area, and other commitments have limited how often I can be there. I am hoping that some attendees can post high quality reports here of what gets said. If any graphs get posted in a power point, please take a picture. Also, it would be very helpful if attendees could take special note of any claims that are made that are supposedly based in LDWF sampling data. They are not releasing data yet due to BP legal issues, but knowing what data they claim to have will be helpful in later data requests.

Clampy 07-08-2014 07:54 AM

Someone could film it.

MathGeek 07-08-2014 08:04 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Clampy (Post 704978)
Someone could film it.

Great point. Having seem lots of videoed presentations, the best ones focus on the slides. The verbal part of the presentation is caught on audio, and and the slides on the video. Video of the presenter at the podium is much less useful than the info on the slides.

Reggoh 07-08-2014 08:10 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Jadams (Post 704958)
U goin to meeting thursday?

Is the meeting Wednesday or Thursday? I had it on my calendar as the 9th?

PaulMyers 07-08-2014 08:18 AM

The meeting is the 9th at 6pm.

Smalls 07-08-2014 08:44 AM

I'll be there taking notes MG. May not be able to stay the whole time, but I plan on being there for the discussion of the weirs.

MathGeek 07-08-2014 09:06 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Smalls (Post 704999)
I'll be there taking notes MG. May not be able to stay the whole time, but I plan on being there for the discussion of the weirs.

Awesome. I really hope they do a good job making a case for the scientific necessity of the weirs based on data and consequences rather than "scientists say so" or "agencies say so."

At the same time, I hope they are amenable to moving toward more data driven management based on salinity and water levels in front and behind.

Smalls 07-08-2014 10:28 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by MathGeek (Post 705001)
Awesome. I really hope they do a good job making a case for the scientific necessity of the weirs based on data and consequences rather than "scientists say so" or "agencies say so."

At the same time, I hope they are amenable to moving toward more data driven management based on salinity and water levels in front and behind.

I posted this (http://www.fws.gov/gisdownloads/R4/L...2020131126.pdf) a few weeks ago.

Not sure if anyone read it, but what pops out to me is that in 2009 they moved forward with Phase II of the CCMMP. Part of Phase II is managing for fisheries. This involves the slotted gates at Lambert and Peconi being opened for 1 to 5 days during each new and full moon event. Has anyone noticed this being done?

Also, the boat bay is supposed to remain open, except when salinities exceed the 5 ppt limit at isohaline line No. 2.

The management now is supposed to be driven by the isohaline lines. The problem is, most of those CRMS stations back there are not realtime. Some, but not all. This one is: http://waterdata.usgs.gov/la/nwis/uv...95231093100100.

That is between the 12 ppt Isohaline line and the 5 ppt isohaline line. The salinity right now is above 12 ppt, so this is one reason the weirs are probably closed.

Right now, according to the Phase 2 portion of the CCMMP, only the boat bay at Grand Bayou, the 6-inch slots on each weir, and a flapgate on the Grand Bayou Structure can be opened for fisheries purposes. They have adapted that in the document I posted above to say that the weirs will be opened unless the salinity rises above 5 ppt east of the 5 ppt isohaline line.

Well boys, without any realtime data available, its hard to say if it is, but I would be those salinities are above 5 ppt.

capt coonassty 07-08-2014 10:39 AM

Where in the CS-54 report is the part about Phase II?

Smalls 07-08-2014 11:13 AM

Uh, I'd have to pull it up again to find the exact page, but I believe it was under the hydrology section.

Now not all of that information I posted was in that report. Most of it came out of the resource management plan itself. If I can post a PDF (don't know if I've ever figured out if you can or not), I will post that. Its a 3 page document that outlines the management objectives and the objectives of each phase.

Smalls 07-08-2014 11:16 AM

1 Attachment(s)
Here it is. Couldn't do it from my phone. The isohaline lines are a bit difficult to see in the scan, but the 12 ppt line is closer to the lake, while the 5 ppt line is closer to Highway 27.

MathGeek 07-08-2014 11:23 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Smalls (Post 705038)
Here it is. Couldn't do it from my phone. The isohaline lines are a bit difficult to see in the scan, but the 12 ppt line is closer to the lake, while the 5 ppt line is closer to Highway 27.

Great stuff. Thanks for providing such concrete info with such a sound paper trail. I guess an important question for the meeting is whether the plan is being followed.

Smalls 07-08-2014 11:40 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by MathGeek (Post 705040)
Great stuff. Thanks for providing such concrete info with such a sound paper trail. I guess an important question for the meeting is whether the plan is being followed.

Definitely will be asked.

BTW, that is also in that report I'm sending you.

"W" 07-08-2014 01:42 PM

They opening weirs today and meeting tomorrow

Lmao what a joke that system is !! And the people who run it


So tomorrow they can say " he we opened them yesterday "

Smalls 07-08-2014 01:47 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by "W" (Post 705085)
They opening weirs today and meeting tomorrow

Lmao what a joke that system is !! And the people who run it


So tomorrow they can say " he we opened them yesterday "

Lmao! Yeah, that's not pressure driven at all. That's pretty sad. Now this meeting is going to be really fun.

Serious question, W: if they could back up the closings with scientific data, defensible data, would you have an issue with the operations?

SGib 07-08-2014 01:50 PM

So really since limits are so easy now do we love or hate big lake? Is it still going down the drain?

"W" 07-08-2014 01:54 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Smalls (Post 705089)
Lmao! Yeah, that's not pressure driven at all. That's pretty sad. Now this meeting is going to be really fun.

Serious question, W: if they could back up the closings with scientific data, defensible data, would you have an issue with the operations?

If they can show proof that keeping them open vs closed is efficient I'm all years

But I don't want to hear it from the guy who duck hunts back there

Goooh 07-08-2014 02:02 PM

Not enough BroScience in this thread. Can we get more memes and gifs please?

Smalls 07-08-2014 02:04 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by "W" (Post 705096)
If they can show proof that keeping them open vs closed is efficient I'm all years

But I don't want to hear it from the guy who duck hunts back there

I getcha, I'm with ya. Bias and management are not good bedmates.

From what I've seen, he's not even going to be there. I don't think his name is on the program anyway.

Smalls 07-08-2014 02:10 PM

Now, I don't know Chuck, and I don't know if he is some how pulling strings, but being that he's the Public Information Director, I'll give him the benefit of the doubt, unless it is revealed that he does have some pull in the management of the weirs.

The ONLY reason his name is on that recording is because its his job to take flack from the public. He's a PR guy. They aren't going to put the name of a biologist on that recording.

Jadams 07-08-2014 02:22 PM

They need to take salinity readins 2 miles down grand not 10ft away from weir and they would be open a lot more


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T-TOP 07-08-2014 02:57 PM

These 2 names were on the email I recieved today.


Pat Landry, Coastal Protection and Restoration Authority
Britt Paul, Chairman of the Cameron Creole Advisory Committee
Operation of the Weirs at the Cameron Creole Refuge


Smalls 07-08-2014 03:01 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by T-TOP (Post 705108)
These 2 names were on the email I recieved today.


Pat Landry, Coastal Protection and Restoration Authority
Britt Paul, Chairman of the Cameron Creole Advisory Committee
Operation of the Weirs at the Cameron Creole Refuge


I know Britt. He is (or was) with NRCS.

Did they send something new out?

T-TOP 07-08-2014 03:12 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Smalls (Post 705111)
I know Britt. He is (or was) with NRCS.

Did they send something new out?

A reminder email about the meeting. Those were the 2 names listed to discuss wier operations. Here is the list of speakers.

Featured Speakers
Randy Pausina, Assistant Secretary, Louisiana Department of Wildlife and Fisheries
Fisheries Management in Calcasieu Lake

Patrick Banks, Biologist, Louisiana Department of Wildlife and Fisheries
Oyster Reefs in Calcasieu Lake

Pat Landry, Coastal Protection and Restoration Authority
Britt Paul, Chairman of the Cameron Creole Advisory Committee
Operation of the Weirs at the Cameron Creole Refuge

Tracy Falk, Operations Manager, US Army Corps of Engineers
Ed Creef, Environmental Resource Specialist, US Army Corps of Engineers
Current and future dredging projects on the Calcasieu River

Smalls 07-08-2014 03:14 PM

Gotcha.

Jadams 07-08-2014 04:35 PM

Where's my name????? I'm getting up there 2!


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redchaserron 07-08-2014 04:49 PM

I had a loong conversation with Chuck Perrodin the other day, he definitely does not make the decision as to whether or not the weirs are open, he is not a scientest, he is a PR guy. He will be at the meeting (or that's his current plan) and will freely talk about who makes the decisions and how they are made. If nothing else you will at least be able to be mad at the correct persons. I also doubt if he hunts back there because when I was referencing different locations and bayous he was very unfamilliar with it.

Tjethro85 07-08-2014 05:34 PM

[QUOTE=Jadams;705132]Where's my name????? I'm getting up there 2!


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Just make sure you show up tomorrow and not Thursday


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