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-   -   Heads up (http://www.saltycajun.com/forum/showthread.php?t=32941)

Smalls 06-23-2012 07:26 PM

Heads up
 
Got a tropical storm out there fellas. TS Debby is lurking out in the gulf, showing it coming this way. Sucks, supposed to be going to New Orleans for a conference Monday. Gonna have to watch this one.

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"W" 06-23-2012 07:32 PM

Going towards Texas not LA
.....and long way from new Orleans
We have high pressure keeping us out of the zone

Salty 06-23-2012 07:35 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by "W" (Post 451620)
Going towards Texas not LA
.....and long way from new Orleans
We have high pressure keeping us out of the zone

So does Tejas. Hurricane Center is totally unsure about this one.

"W" 06-23-2012 07:38 PM

http://www.weather.com/weather/hurri...rms/2012/Debby

Salty 06-23-2012 07:41 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by "W" (Post 451623)

Yeah, I saw that, but, they gotta point 'em somewhere.

Top Dawg 06-23-2012 07:48 PM

So somewheres between Brownsville and florida.

Salty 06-23-2012 07:55 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Top Dawg (Post 451629)
So somewheres between Brownsville and florida.

Yeah...Miami, FL.

"W" 06-23-2012 07:56 PM

we have a real strong high pressure on us so it hitting LA is like a 2% chance .... The only way it would hit LA is if something pushed the high east and it came up the back side of the high and followed it up

Which is real unlikely .....high is weaker on south texas and south Fl so following that line is 98% likely

But its weather so anything can happen

PaulMyers 06-23-2012 07:57 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Top Dawg (Post 451629)
So somewheres between Brownsville and florida.

Except for Louisiana!




















"W" said so! :work: :p

Salty 06-23-2012 08:04 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by PaulMyers (Post 451636)
Except for Louisiana!




















"W" said so! :work: :p

"2% chance"

There's a chance.

Salty 06-24-2012 11:33 AM

Appears that this would be worth more than a "2% chance". Looks like SE Louisiana is gonna get a hurricane.

A tropical storm warning was issued for the Louisiana coast from the Pearl River west to Morgan City, excluding the city of New Orleans and Lake Pontchartrain. Residents were warned to expect storm conditions within 36 hours.

Salty 06-24-2012 11:45 AM

As of right now, looks like landfall around Morgan City Thursday morning. I don't think they've got a handle on where this thing will eventually end up.



http://icons-ak.wunderground.com/dat...01204_5day.gif

Bluechip 06-24-2012 11:50 AM

So does that mean we only have a 2% chance???

Salty 06-24-2012 11:55 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bluechip (Post 451842)
So does that mean we only have a 2% chance???

What it means is.............









































Salty wins AGAIN!!!!

;):)

Apparently, W knows less about tropical systems than he does college football............

Montauk17 06-24-2012 11:57 AM

Yall keep fishing cause w said so....not coming this way

Salty 06-24-2012 11:58 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Montauk17 (Post 451847)
Yall keep fishing cause w said so....not coming this way

"blocking high"

Salty 06-24-2012 12:07 PM

Looks like Corpus Christi is in the "2%" range now "cents" the models that forecasted a western track forecasted it to turn west 24 hours ago.

fishinpox 06-24-2012 12:14 PM

My bet is fla panhandle but i hope not My fiancé is drivin to destin now for vacation

Salty 06-24-2012 12:20 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by fishinpox (Post 451857)
My bet is fla panhandle but i hope not My fiancé is drivin to destin now for vacation

:shaking:

"blocking high"

:rolleyes:

PaulMyers 06-24-2012 12:34 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by fishinpox (Post 451857)
My bet is fla panhandle but i hope not My fiancé is drivin to destin now for vacation

Looks like she may need to cut it a little short.

Salty 06-24-2012 12:37 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by PaulMyers (Post 451865)
Looks like she may need to cut it a little short.

It's very possible. The graphic I posted shows it moving NE, but, at 5mph anything could happen. I just don't think the models would miss it that far, tho.

jchief 06-24-2012 12:41 PM

http://derecho.math.uwm.edu/models/al042012.png

"W" 06-24-2012 12:41 PM

Ill be fishing....hope New Orleans hood rats don't embarrass us again


But like I said unless something moves that high which it has moved back north east...looks like Fl or Bama

Salty 06-24-2012 12:45 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by fishinpox (Post 451857)
My bet is fla panhandle but i hope not My fiancé is drivin to destin now for vacation



http://icons.wxug.com/hurricane/2012/jun24_radar.gif

Salty 06-24-2012 12:46 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by "W" (Post 451875)
Ill be fishing lil Florida....hope New Orleans hood rats don't embarrass us again


But like I said unless something moves that high which it has moved back north east...looks like Fl or Bama

:rotfl:
:rotfl:
:rotfl:

You never said Florida or Bammer. You said Tejas.

PaulMyers 06-24-2012 12:47 PM

1 Attachment(s)
This is from our paid weather service.

Salty 06-24-2012 12:48 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by PaulMyers (Post 451883)
This is from our paid weather service.

I'll take that. :)

PaulMyers 06-24-2012 12:52 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Salty (Post 451884)
I'll take that. :)

They are usually no better than anybody else but the company pays for it so they feel better. :rolleyes:

It's weather, who knows? :confused:

Salty 06-24-2012 01:02 PM

With W's "blocking highs" all over the southern US....this damn thing might sit out there until Thanksgivin'. :cool: :rolleyes:

"W" 06-24-2012 01:09 PM

I said it was a 2% chance.of hitting LA ..looks like I'm 100% right

Salty 06-24-2012 01:12 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by "W" (Post 451892)
I said it was a 2% chance.of hitting LA ..looks like I'm 100% right

I know exactly what you said.

Quote:

Originally Posted by "W" (Post 451620)
Going towards Texas not LA
.....and long way from new Orleans
We have high pressure keeping us out of the zone


meaux fishing 06-24-2012 03:26 PM

http://image.weather.com/images/maps...us_600x338.jpg

Salty 06-24-2012 03:56 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by meaux fishing (Post 451951)

:rotfl:

I think it's probably a lil bit clearer now.

Loneshark 06-24-2012 04:06 PM

Headed to Orange Beach in the morning. I like the new track they have this thing going. Being stuck in a condo with a 2 and 4 year old for a week would be bad for my stress level.

meaux fishing 06-24-2012 04:12 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Loneshark (Post 451973)
Headed to Orange Beach in the morning. I like the new track they have this thing going. Being stuck in a condo with a 2 and 4 year old for a week would be bad for my stress level.

Im supposed to go to Grand Isle for a week starting thursday so I was getting a little worried it might cut my trip short

meaux fishing 06-24-2012 04:14 PM

WATCH OUT TEXAS HERE IT COMES


http://icons-ak.wunderground.com/dat...01204_5day.gif

PaulMyers 06-24-2012 04:25 PM

Hey Bob, I knew if you looked long enough you could find one to back me up. :thumbup:

Thanks for all the hard work you put in this afternoon locating a second weather man for conformation. :D

Salty 06-24-2012 04:45 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by meaux fishing (Post 451984)

Is that Apalachicola, TX? :smokin:

Smalls 06-24-2012 04:48 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by "W" (Post 451892)
I said it was a 2% chance.of hitting LA ..looks like I'm 100% right

Call the papers on that one. It's gonna win the pulitzer for biggest news story of the year.

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Salty 06-24-2012 04:50 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Smalls (Post 452011)
Call the papers on that one. It's gonna win the pulitzer for biggest news story of the year.

Sent from my Desire HD using Tapatalk

He said it was hitting Tejas. If it continues on it's current track.....it'll be totally opposite from what he initially stated. But then...he changes stories hourly.

Smalls 06-24-2012 05:17 PM

Oh I know. My point is, "UU" was right. Atleast at this point on time...

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Salty 06-24-2012 05:18 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Smalls (Post 452030)
Oh I know. My point is, "UU" was right. Atleast at this point on time...

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Not really.

"W" 06-24-2012 05:30 PM

I was 100% right that it would not hit La

Salty 06-24-2012 05:37 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by "W" (Post 452047)
I was 100% right that it would not hit La

Well, it's not over yet, but, there's also 48 more states in which it won't make landfall. You said it would go west. If it hit's the Florida panhandle...it will go "100%" opposite of what you said. But then...you also think Hurricane Rita should be ranked ahead of Katrina.

"W" 06-24-2012 05:55 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Salty (Post 452051)
Well, it's not over yet, but, there's also 48 more states in which it won't make landfall. You said it would go west. If it hit's the Florida panhandle...it will go "100%" opposite of what you said. But then...you also think Hurricane Rita should be ranked ahead of Katrina.

Rita was worst than Katrina ....just because were smarter on the west side to leave .....and have zero deaths which made for zero ,media stories

Sorry were not the welfare side


They both made landfall as cat 3 both were cat 5

Rita storm surge was greater than Katrina

Only thing was Cnn,fox and NBC loved to hype it up with democrats on roof tops because they were too stupid to leave a soup bowl

hankscke123 06-24-2012 06:14 PM

I agree 100 percent with w.

Salty 06-24-2012 06:20 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by "W" (Post 452060)
Rita was worst than Katrina ....just because were smarter on the west side to leave .....and have zero deaths which made for zero ,media stories

Sorry were not the welfare side


They both made landfall as cat 3 both were cat 5

Rita storm surge was greater than Katrina

Only thing was Cnn,fox and NBC loved to hype it up with democrats on roof tops because they were too stupid to leave a soup bowl

Katrina was just as intense as Rita and about 3 times bigger. Rita affected 2 or 3 Louisiana coastal parishes...Katrina hit 3 states. If you think Katrina only did damage in Chocolate City...you should'a drove across Washington Parish the next day. And we're 150 miles from landfall....not on the coast.

Interesting that you include yourself ("were") among the "smart" people in southwest Louisiana.

"W" 06-24-2012 06:32 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Salty (Post 452064)
Katrina was just as intense as Rita and about 3 times bigger. Rita affected 2 or 3 Louisiana coastal parishes...Katrina hit 3 states. If you think Katrina only did damage in Chocolate City...you should'a drove across Washington Parish the next day. And we're 150 miles from landfall....not on the coast.

Interesting that you include yourself ("were") among the "smart" people in southwest Louisiana.

And Rita smashed from bay town to Vermillion bay

O you didn't see that on CNN sorry we

Salty 06-24-2012 06:52 PM

Katrina would have left little impact on New Orleans had it's surge not stressed the levee system.

Total damage estimates:

Rita - $12 billion
Katrina - $120 billion +

We had sustained winds of 80-90 mph here for 8-9 hours and, like I said, we ain't nowhere near the coast.

"W" 06-24-2012 07:04 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Salty (Post 452068)
Katrina would have left little impact on New Orleans had it's surge not stressed the levee system.

Total damage estimates:

Rita - $12 billion
Katrina - $120 billion +

We had sustained winds of 80-90 mph here for 8-9 hours and, like I said, we ain't nowhere near the coast.


Lmao. Do u know why Katrina cost 120billion one word FEMA

Do you know how much money was giving out to re located the animals from Zoo to zoo

You take out the wasted money just on New Orleans and your less than 10billion

Do you really know what it cost us tax payers to relocate the zoo


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