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-   -   Need to keep eye on Gulf (http://www.saltycajun.com/forum/showthread.php?t=45305)

jchief 06-25-2013 05:51 PM

Need to keep eye on Gulf
 
http://www.hurricanechat.com/

Check out the Early July thread.

jchief 06-25-2013 05:54 PM

1 Attachment(s)
Pic

Goooh 06-25-2013 06:02 PM

That's pretty amazing they have been taking about that for so long and it's actually accurate... The one guy said he predicted it on the 9th to hit the first week of July and the models are showing time and location to be accurate!

AceArcher 06-25-2013 06:02 PM

Hey chief, your link is dead and your picture looks pretty with lots of L's and H's and some red and blue... but i have no idea what it means..

can you educate us a little bit on why we need to worry bout early july?

PaulMyers 06-25-2013 06:21 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by AceArcher (Post 598098)

can you educate us a little bit on why we need to worry bout early july?

The L over N.O. @ 990 could be nasty.

jchief 06-25-2013 06:43 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by AceArcher (Post 598098)
Hey chief, your link is dead and your picture looks pretty with lots of L's and H's and some red and blue... but i have no idea what it means..

can you educate us a little bit on why we need to worry bout early july?

Dam yankee. :rotfl::rotfl:

May be a tropical system in our area. As Paul said

AceArcher 06-25-2013 06:53 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jchief (Post 598105)
Dam yankee. :rotfl::rotfl:

May be a tropical system in our area. As Paul said

Easy there chief... I may have lived in yankee land for the last 25 years, But i was born in the South and lived here in LA till i went chasing them $$'s and skirts up north....

:) :rotfl: :rotfl:

but your right... i am a bit yankee... i hope it will get ground off before to long :)

So back to the back, the extreme low pressure of 990 over N.O. would draw in fronts to that area is what your concerned about right?

jchief 06-25-2013 06:55 PM

No. The 990 over N.O. would be a tropical system, possibly a hurricane or tropical storm.

specknation 06-25-2013 10:18 PM

This forecast model is not one the National Hurricane Center uses, and the reliability of this model is low. The GFDL and GFS are the models they use to predict tropical cyclones.

Hopedale Hustler 06-26-2013 07:11 PM

From what I understand this model has actually been one of the most accurate ones lately...

Sent from my SCH-I605 using Tapatalk 2

specknation 06-26-2013 09:30 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Hopedale Hustler (Post 598464)
From what I understand this model has actually been one of the most accurate ones lately...

Sent from my SCH-I605 using Tapatalk 2

LOL, HH first of all the model is showing a forecast 228 hrs. out none of the models can predict this far out with any confidence. And yes this model is not on top of the list for the Hurricane center to view, email them they wil be happy to tell you HH stick to poppin welders or whatever you do. LOL

Goooh 06-26-2013 11:29 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by specknation (Post 598530)
LOL, HH first of all the model is showing a forecast 228 hrs. out none of the models can predict this far out with any confidence. And yes this model is not on top of the list for the Hurricane center to view, email them they wil be happy to tell you HH stick to poppin welders or whatever you do. LOL

I actually saw the weather channel talking about this today, seemed they were leaning towards what is being predicted here.

jchief 07-04-2013 11:28 AM

http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analy...pcpn_watl.html

Looks like the weather guy's may be right for a change.

Goooh 07-04-2013 11:40 AM

Link doesn't work for me, what's it about?

jchief 07-04-2013 11:52 AM

A low developing in the Gulf and coming right up our, SWLA, azz on July 7

jchief 07-04-2013 11:54 AM

Look on top right of this page

http://spaghettimodels.com/

Where it says "like Mike's Facebook page". There is a link. Click on it.

Wupper 07-04-2013 04:49 PM

I look at wunderground.com under the dr's blog and they have a bunch of weather students that have all of the models and satellite pics and they are giving this a shot. I'm just glad we aren't getting all the rain that's goi g over Florida right now or it could be bad. Also gonna have to worry about backwater flooding near Lake Ponchatrain and maurepas.

specknation 07-04-2013 05:14 PM

None of the reliable computer models are showing development go to the NHC site its given a less than 10% chance of doing anything tropical, if you look at your computer model on top of this post it is showing a low over southeast la. right now, I am setting in my pool in southeast la nothing but sunshine. I guess if you wish cast long enough something will come LOL

Salty 07-04-2013 06:07 PM

This will be nothing more than increased rain chances.

PUREBAY2200 07-04-2013 06:15 PM

^^^^
I'm ok with some rain!


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