Invest 99 is still looking very ragged on satellite imagery Friday morning and the short term development chances are really small. However, the National Hurricane Center (NHC) is giving it a 60% chance over the next 5 days to put itself together. Upper level winds (shear) have been really hurting the storm for more than a day and that's why the development chances went down from 80% Thursday. If the system can hold together, the shearing should decrease significantly by late Sunday or Monday as it gets into the southeastern Gulf of Mexico.
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