I fish protected water in winter. The only time I don't bother to fish is immediately after a front when the wind is humping and the sky is clear. Historically little success. When the wind calms and there are bluebird skies (high pressure), we catch, not as good as later when easterlies and southerlies blow, but catch nonetheless.
In fall, action is almost totally predicated on tides - falling tide means white shrimp coming out of the marsh.
This time of year, I don't give BP a second thought. Every area has good wind direction and bad wind direction. That's what I go on.
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