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"W"
06-01-2009, 05:57 PM
2009 hurricane forecast

How and if global warming influences hurricane formation is still a matter of genuine scientific debate. In recent years, scientists have at least identified several factors -- from the extent of rainfall in Africa to the presence or absence of El Nino conditions in the Pacific -- that help them predict the intensity of a hurricane season ahead of time. Here's what the two most prominent forecasters have to say:
The federal government has predicted a "near normal" hurricane season for the Atlantic with a 25% chance of above-normal outbreaks and 25% chance of below-normal outbreaks -- though overall, forecasters expressed a greater degree of uncertainty this year than they have in past years.
The National Oceanographic and Atmospheric Administration's predicts (http://www.noaanews.noaa.gov/stories2009/20090521_atlantichurricane.html) a 70% chance of:

Named storms: 9-14
Hurricanes: 4-7
Major hurricanes: 1-3
The other major forecaster in the U.S., the University of Colorado, recently revised down (http://hurricane.atmos.colostate.edu/Forecasts/) its expectations for the 2009 Atlantic hurricane season:

Named storms: 12
Hurricanes: 6
Major hurricanes: 2
Further, the Colorado forecasters predicted the following probabilities that a major hurricane could strike the U.S., all of which are about average for the past century:

Entire U.S. coastline: 54%
U.S. East Coast (including peninsula Florida): 32%
Gulf Coast (from the Florida Panhandle westward to Brownsville, Texas): 31%
Caribbean: Average
Forecasters warn that the number of storms and their intensity is only one key determinant of risk of property damage and loss of life: The biggest factor is who lives in harm's way and how well they prepare. Some 35 million U.S. residents live in hurricane-prone regions, and experts urge them to prepare (http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/HAW2/english/disaster_prevention.shtml).
When those storms do come, they will be given names. Tropical cyclones are given names when they achieve tropical storm strength, with sustained winds of at least 39 mph. Hurricanes are tropical storms that have sustained winds that exceed 74 mph, and major hurricanes have sustained winds that exceed 111 mph.
Here are the tropical storm and hurricane names for 2009:


2009 hurricane and tropical storm names - Atlantic


Ana
Bill
Claudette
Danny
Erika
Fred
Grace
Henri
Ida
Joaquin
Kate
Larry
Mindy
Nicholas
Odette
Peter
Rose
Sam
Teresa
Victor
"W"

CatDaddy
06-01-2009, 06:21 PM
2009 hurricane forecast

How and if global warming influences hurricane formation is still a matter of genuine scientific debate. In recent years, scientists have at least identified several factors -- from the extent of rainfall in Africa to the presence or absence of El Nino conditions in the Pacific -- that help them predict the intensity of a hurricane season ahead of time. Here's what the two most prominent forecasters have to say:
The federal government has predicted a "near normal" hurricane season for the Atlantic with a 25% chance of above-normal outbreaks and 25% chance of below-normal outbreaks -- though overall, forecasters expressed a greater degree of uncertainty this year than they have in past years.

The National Oceanographic and Atmospheric Administration's predicts (http://www.noaanews.noaa.gov/stories2009/20090521_atlantichurricane.html) a 70% chance of:

Named storms: 9-14
Hurricanes: 4-7
Major hurricanes: 1-3
The other major forecaster in the U.S., the University of Colorado, recently revised down (http://hurricane.atmos.colostate.edu/Forecasts/) its expectations for the 2009 Atlantic hurricane season:

Named storms: 12
Hurricanes: 6
Major hurricanes: 2
Further, the Colorado forecasters predicted the following probabilities that a major hurricane could strike the U.S., all of which are about average for the past century:

Entire U.S. coastline: 54%
U.S. East Coast (including peninsula Florida): 32%
Gulf Coast (from the Florida Panhandle westward to Brownsville, Texas): 31%
Caribbean: Average
Forecasters warn that the number of storms and their intensity is only one key determinant of risk of property damage and loss of life: The biggest factor is who lives in harm's way and how well they prepare. Some 35 million U.S. residents live in hurricane-prone regions, and experts urge them to prepare (http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/HAW2/english/disaster_prevention.shtml).
When those storms do come, they will be given names. Tropical cyclones are given names when they achieve tropical storm strength, with sustained winds of at least 39 mph. Hurricanes are tropical storms that have sustained winds that exceed 74 mph, and major hurricanes have sustained winds that exceed 111 mph.
Here are the tropical storm and hurricane names for 2009:


2009 hurricane and tropical storm names - Atlantic


Ana
Bill
CatDaddy
Danny
Erika
Fred
Grace
Henri
Ida
Joaquin
Kate
Larry
Mindy
Nicholas
Odette
Peter
Rose
Sam
Teresa
Victor
"W"


:*****::rotfl:

huntin fool
06-01-2009, 06:22 PM
2009 hurricane forecast

How and if global warming influences hurricane formation is still a matter of genuine scientific debate. In recent years, scientists have at least identified several factors -- from the extent of rainfall in Africa to the presence or absence of El Nino conditions in the Pacific -- that help them predict the intensity of a hurricane season ahead of time. Here's what the two most prominent forecasters have to say:
The federal government has predicted a "near normal" hurricane season for the Atlantic with a 25% chance of above-normal outbreaks and 25% chance of below-normal outbreaks -- though overall, forecasters expressed a greater degree of uncertainty this year than they have in past years.

The National Oceanographic and Atmospheric Administration's predicts (http://www.noaanews.noaa.gov/stories2009/20090521_atlantichurricane.html) a 70% chance of:

Named storms: 9-14
Hurricanes: 4-7
Major hurricanes: 1-3
The other major forecaster in the U.S., the University of Colorado, recently revised down (http://hurricane.atmos.colostate.edu/Forecasts/) its expectations for the 2009 Atlantic hurricane season:

Named storms: 12
Hurricanes: 6
Major hurricanes: 2
Further, the Colorado forecasters predicted the following probabilities that a major hurricane could strike the U.S., all of which are about average for the past century:

Entire U.S. coastline: 54%
U.S. East Coast (including peninsula Florida): 32%
Gulf Coast (from the Florida Panhandle westward to Brownsville, Texas): 31%
Caribbean: Average
Forecasters warn that the number of storms and their intensity is only one key determinant of risk of property damage and loss of life: The biggest factor is who lives in harm's way and how well they prepare. Some 35 million U.S. residents live in hurricane-prone regions, and experts urge them to prepare (http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/HAW2/english/disaster_prevention.shtml).
When those storms do come, they will be given names. Tropical cyclones are given names when they achieve tropical storm strength, with sustained winds of at least 39 mph. Hurricanes are tropical storms that have sustained winds that exceed 74 mph, and major hurricanes have sustained winds that exceed 111 mph.
Here are the tropical storm and hurricane names for 2009:


2009 hurricane and tropical storm names - Atlantic


Ana
Bill
Claudette
Danny
Erika
Fool
Grace
Henri
Ida
Joaquin
Kate
Larry
Mindy
Nicholas
Odette
Peter
Rose
Sam
Teresa
Victor
"W"



:*****:

Big Lake Blondie
06-01-2009, 08:39 PM
So hurricane Cat, W, and fool gonna take everybody out???? :*****::*****::*****: Or just the Texans???:*****::rotfl::*****::rotfl::*****: We know where Hurricane W would head...

huntin fool
06-01-2009, 08:41 PM
hurricane Fool is expected to head for N.O again i heard :)

CatDaddy
06-01-2009, 08:48 PM
hurricane Fool is expected to head for N.O again i heard :)


well Fool, ya wasting ya time, cause hurricane CATDADDY is gonna take care of that first chance it gets. it will sit on that place for about a week... its gonna be one of those quadruple entry hurricanes. and its also gonna hit all the "obama concentrations" in south Louisiana.... None if the McCain supporters will be effected..

Big Lake Blondie
06-01-2009, 08:49 PM
hurricane Fool is expected to head for N.O again i heard :)

Bring back drinks for everyone while you out that way! :grinpimp:

Big Lake Blondie
06-01-2009, 08:50 PM
well Fool, ya wasting ya time, cause hurricane CATDADDY is gonna take care of that first chance it gets. it will sit on that place for about a week... its gonna be one of those quadruple entry hurricanes. and its also gonna hit all the "obama concentrations" in south Louisiana.... None if the McCain supporters will be effected..

Don't destroy N.O....Just flush out the idiots...Where will I vacay to??? No more Pat O's??? Just shoot me in the head, why don't ya!!! :p:*****::*****::*****:

CatDaddy
06-01-2009, 08:53 PM
Don't destroy N.O....Just flush out the idiots...Where will I vacay to??? No more Pat O's??? Just shoot me in the head, why don't ya!!! :p:*****::*****::*****:


Well yea blondie... Cadtdaddy will only take out what needs to be taken out.....

yak'em-n-stack'em
06-01-2009, 09:04 PM
ahhhhh Al Gore and his Global warming commies.

does anyone actually agree with him?

I am an environmental major and have a minor in oceanography and disasters and can tell you there is no such thing.

THere IS global climate change...but not warming

Big Lake Blondie
06-01-2009, 09:07 PM
Well yea blondie... Cadtdaddy will only take out what needs to be taken out.....

Ok, well...Destroy on!

"W"
06-01-2009, 09:08 PM
So hurricane Cat, W, and fool gonna take everybody out???? :*****::*****::*****: Or just the Texans???:*****::rotfl::*****::rotfl::*****: We know where Hurricane W would head...


I would sit there a few DAYS:rotfl:

Big Lake Blondie
06-01-2009, 09:10 PM
I would sit there a few DAYS:rotfl:

You'd make a vacation out of it...:*****::*****::*****:

Reverend Redfish
06-01-2009, 09:16 PM
Hurricane Redfish would head straight for Washington DC.

redfishman
06-02-2009, 05:16 PM
I like the avatar Rev!!!!