I disagree with 4x4 not making a difference.
The problem is people with 4x4 have an increased confidence level, and increase there speeds while decreasing their alertness.
Zambonies are 4x4 for a reason. I drove from Houston last Friday in and out of 4x4 over bridges to test the control, and felt a noticeable difference. I've also lived in the northeast, and drove cross country quite a bit in icy conditions - I'll take 4x4 any day.
In a controlled environment while maintaining identical safe driving practices, the 4x4 will perform better than rear wheel only in my experience.
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