I posted it on another forum, but compared to the last 11 years, this survey is about the same as 6 of those years, give or take a few 100k. 10 of the last 12 (including this year) have been below the long-term average, and by a long shot.
Take that for what you will, but I think this is more the norm for November based on the last 12 years. Last year was the first time since 1995 that the November count was over 3 million, according to that survey. And between 1999 and 2006, only the 2002 survey topped the 2006 numbers (2.6 million in 2002; 2.3 million in 2006). The November estimate has only met or eclipsed the 2 million mark 7 times since 1995, and only 3 times since 2000. And its been at or below 1.5 million 8 times since 2000 (maybe 9, 2001 looks borderline 1.5 million).
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11-06-2015, 04:30 PM
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