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jchief · #1 08-14-2013, 10:54 AM

Keep an eye to the south.

jchief · #2 08-14-2013, 10:56 AM

Surface observations indicate that an area of low pressure could be
forming between the northeastern tip of honduras and the cayman
islands where the shower activity has become concentrated during the
past several hours. Upper-level winds are favorable for additional
development of this disturbance over the next couple of days...as
it moves northwestward at 10 to 15 mph toward the yucatan peninsula
and southern gulf of mexico. This system has a medium chance...50
percent...of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48
hours...and a high chance...60 percent...of becoming a tropical
cyclone during the next 5 days. Interests in the yucatan peninsula
and the southern gulf of mexico should monitor the progress of this
disturbance.

Dogface · #3 08-14-2013, 11:03 AM

Its that time of year. Lets pray.

Micah · #4 08-14-2013, 11:03 AM

Video I watched last night showed this cool front we are getting to push it east and away from us.

Goooh · #5 08-14-2013, 11:14 AM

Classification: UNCLASSIFIED
Caveats: NONE

All,

With the current activity in the Caribbean and Atlantic, I would like to schedule a call for Friday, 16 Aug at 0930 CST. It appears at this time that the tropical wave in the Caribbean will enter the Gulf later this week or over the weekend. I will ask the NWS(Mobile) to provide the latest info on these storms during the call. The call in number is 1-800-977-8002, code 833550#. Note that you have to use the # key on the code. Hopefully we will keep the call brief, but informative. Be safe and look forward to communicating with you all,

Duane "Bubba" Poiroux
USACE - Mobile District
251-694-3720

"W" · #6 08-14-2013, 11:39 AM

Fish On!!! Love a low in the gulf

Average Fisherman · #7 08-14-2013, 12:03 PM

This system has grabbed my attention. Still a million "ifs" with it, including if it will even develop, though that is looking more likely. I am a degreed meteorologist, who gave up the trade for self employment, but its still a way of life for me to follow this stuff. I can tell you this with certainty, those model tracks will flop around like boiling spaghetti noodles until we have a clear center develop. I think that could happen inside 24 hours, with a possible land impact somewhere..... Anywhere along the gulf coast possible in about 4-5 days.